118 points routelastresort 47 minutes ago 34 comments
Aurornis 26 minutes ago | parent
No, really:
> As you know, funding for frontier model development depends on valuations that assume the weights remain proprietary. By changing that assumption, we can reduce the money available for future training runs and slow progress at every lab at once, without a regulator deciding anything.
Which doesn’t even follow. It depends on every lab in the world agreeing to self-destruct their valuations and stop competing. That’s a much more impossible ask than anything Dario is asking for.
It also ignores the possibility of new labs starting up, using the open weights, and continuing exactly where the old labs left off.
I feel like I just read the ramblings of someone who got so excited about the headline that they didn’t take the time to think if their argument was sound.
EA-3167 22 minutes ago | parent
Aurornis 17 minutes ago | parent
The conversation was about AI safety, monitoring, and regulations, not bubbles.
Forcing the weights to be opened to the world accomplishes the opposite of all of that. The argument is incoherent. Or this author doesn’t understand the topic at all?
> The companies themselves wouldn't do it, but they could be required to if they want to operate in the US.
What makes you think the companies outside of the US wouldn’t just thank the US companies for their open weights and then continue on without any of the regulations but all of the advantages?
jacobgold 5 minutes ago | parent
Or maybe you understand less than you think?
Frontier progress is limited by compute, and compute is bought with investor money. Investors fund labs at hundreds of billions because they expect exclusive ownership of the model weights. If the weights are public the day a model ships, the valuations drop, the funding rounds shrink, and the next training run is smaller or later. Make sense?
jacobgold 13 minutes ago | parent
It's a law, so nobody has to agree to anything. If want to sell access to a model, you have to open the weights.
The plan that depends on every lab in the world agreeing is Dario's.
Step #2 of his essay is "democratic coordination" among frontier labs and step three is coordination with China. I'm suggesting one simple law Congress could pass and every US lab would be covered the same day, whether they like it or not.
Frontier progress is compute bound. Compute is bought with investor money. Investors put up tens of billions because they expect to sell the proprietary model that is created.
You're welcome to think the effect would be smaller than I do. But "it requires everyone to agree" is backwards.
linkregister 11 minutes ago | parent
jacobgold 9 minutes ago | parent
hypfer 6 minutes ago | parent
Incredible.
Yes, why would you ever address someone with something that is not in their best interest. Especially people that have power.
I agree. We should never do that and let them just live in peace and do their thing.
Aurornis 6 minutes ago | parent
Laws don’t extend to the entire world. There are AI labs outside of the US that are not that far behind. Forcing US companies to open their weights would hand those labs another advantage, moving the frontier AI to a location outside of any US regulation.
Your proposal doesn’t make any sense.
> The plan that depends on every lab in the world agreeing is Dario's.
I don’t understand how you think creating a law in the US to destroy our AI companies and give an advantage to competitors we can’t regulate accomplishes anything in line with the AI safety debate.
vorticalbox 5 minutes ago | parent
floatrock 9 minutes ago | parent
What are the alternatives?
A regulator saying no? Easy, your headquarters has just moved the Cayman Islands, Ireland, or Switzerland... the US office is just a subsidiary leasing the brand IP and doing marketing.
Or, you just ignore the regulator behind closed doors because you're part of some black budget. You wouldn't be able to talk about that closet back there even if it did exist.
Or, you don't play any of these games and you simply move all the training and inference to a different jurisdiction.
So yeah, the argument is incoherent, but it does have a kind of "only way we can make sure everyone stops playing the game is to destroy the game" mad logic to it.
luqtas 21 minutes ago | parent
i mean, 3 months ago i started to use AI for a project i'm working for around 6 years, full-time but calling a billionaire good and principled is a stretch and when you consider what made him rich, you sound like a 3 year-old kid trying persuade a mom or a dad to get lollipops when your are diabetic
LLMs it's already a economical treat for various fields/people, which not only funnels powers to the elite even more, it does through by violating copyright... everyone who uses this technology is dirt (that includes me and my little dreams of hopefully creating a company which employs minorities on the tech field) but the amount of greed from people who own these servers/GPUs is beyond this world - the world isn't GPLv3 licensed yet, an ethical society wouldn't find excuses to provide and sell LLMs to the masses
t-o-m-e-k 21 minutes ago | parent
sobiolite 21 minutes ago | parent
An open letter to Dario: if you mean it, give me a billion dollars!
Every time you, or any AI company releases a new frontier model, you have to give me a billion dollars. No strings attached. This will solve the danger of AI. Somehow.
ppeetteerr 19 minutes ago | parent
Instead, they are partnering with some of the most disliked companies (x, meta) to further their goals.
ianm218 8 minutes ago | parent
Handy-Man 18 minutes ago | parent
sschueller 18 minutes ago | parent
bryan0 17 minutes ago | parent
1. AI model safety is the most important thing.
2. open weights decreases model safety
So it seems unlikely that this suggestion would be well-received
rvz 17 minutes ago | parent
wyager 13 minutes ago | parent
"Any AI model a company offers to the public has to be released as open weights."
OK great, that means no models released to the public, complete concentration of power.
alxndr13 5 minutes ago | parent
Their entire funding model depends on that they generate much revenue _soon_
jrflo 12 minutes ago | parent
2) frontier models are way more dangerous if they are open. It’s opening Pandora’s box, there’s no going back once they are released if they are too dangerous.
tristanj 9 minutes ago | parent
Anthropic has already shown they're very comfortable with holding models from the public. Mythos has been around for what, six months, and there's never been a public release. Only select few have access.
Forcing transparency on public models will just accelerate privatizing access to these models. You don't want to live in that world.
notcodingtoday 6 minutes ago | parent
This is such a short-sighted take and author seems unaware of what damage can be done with powerful open weights models (intentional or not).
Jail-broken Fable level LLMs can mean constant hacking leading to public desertification of the web (best case). Now imagine state sponsored bio lab leaking strange viruses on yearly basis. We've seen enough evidence already, it is difficult for me to imagine an engineer living at the centre of the change is writing this piece.
It's a different question if you ask me if I trust a single company to police the technology. But with the current state of things, I unwillingly admit that no state entity can do a better job at the moment.
baby 5 minutes ago | parent
I’m not saying I’m for these solution, I’m probably against, but if we are being serious why are we not discussing these options?