63 points hn_acker 1 hour ago 49 comments
bbor 58 minutes ago | parent
There's really not much else to say, cause it's all just begging the question by assuming that dogma. Like, here:
> The fact that AI can use statistical prediction to answer questions or carry on conversations tells us something important about how regular our real world is.
Sure, it's interesting if you assume that it's "just" statistical prediction. There's a link, but it's just more creative restatements of the dogma, e.g. "But the LLM is just guessing words"
jimbokun 31 minutes ago | parent
Are you saying that is the entirety of what human minds do as well?
vhantz 31 minutes ago | parent
wongarsu 23 minutes ago | parent
You could take a human and give them an interface restricted to the same shape as an LLM: an input stream of tokens, and an output of token probabilities. Even if you don't allow them to assign any probability that's too high, they could still effectively communicate. And I don't think that'd make them any less intelligent. You could even swap out the human after every token, to simulate the effect of having no internal memory beyond the past output. The result would still be more than just statistical probabilities, it would still be the result of intelligent thought
I'm not saying AI models are intelligent or conscious or whatever. Personally I'm more on the "probably not, how would you proof either way" camp
delichon 57 minutes ago | parent
How is a fictional character the product of someone's mind, but a character generated from a massive database of words from other people's minds is not?
WarmWash 50 minutes ago | parent
hardbass 41 minutes ago | parent
bananaflag 39 minutes ago | parent
novafunc 45 minutes ago | parent
I imagine it's the difference between a chef combining ingredients with intentionality vs a person going to multiple fast food restaurants and blending everything together.
delichon 39 minutes ago | parent
jimbokun 40 minutes ago | parent
It answers itself.
hermitShell 25 minutes ago | parent
Which are not created from nothing. People write characters based on a combination of other fictional characters, real characters, and perhaps some 'RNG'.
Seems the distinction is that the AI generated character can not have any direct bearing on reality, because the LLM never got to know anyone directly. Not derived directly from experiences rooted in reality.
bakugo 16 minutes ago | parent
Current models absolutely suck at writing fictional characters, by the way. And they're getting worse. Seriously, try it yourself: have Claude write a story with a decent amount of dialogue involving character A, then have it write another story involving a completely different character B, then compare the dialogue between the two. You'll quickly notice the same blatantly unnatural speech patterns in both.
muglug 49 minutes ago | parent
This is said all the time by AI skeptics and I think it's right in some areas and massively wrong in others.
I know (or at least assume I know) a lot about certain coding domains where frontier models also show convincing ability. And we know that frontier LLMs really do excel in some areas of mathematics (i.e. when an inexpert human was able to prompt the models to derive a closer bound on the Riemann Hypothesis).
OTOH I know those same models struggle to do things I'm not an expert in (e.g. writing English in a captivating way) because I read their output and have taste.
howunfortunate 43 minutes ago | parent
LLMs are not convincing to me in the domain I did grad school...but neither is Wikipedia, or Reddit, or random pop sci books. And LLMs are basically just summarizing those things.
But when made to work through difficult arbitrary logic (like coding), they are very impressive.
I think this also explains why people gripe a lot about LLM coding _style_, but concede that LLMs do totally fine on coding _correctness_ in 2026
eru 16 minutes ago | parent
These days people don't interact with raw LLMs: they interact with systems and harnesses that deal with chain-of-though and tool calls etc.
I don't think we can honestly expect an LLM's weights to encode a large amount of information accurately. But we can expect the whole system that you interact with that includes the LLM to be able to cite its sources and go digging etc.
So the LLM-system can become as accurate as our best sources.
Of course, figuring out how to get the maximum of information from the sources available is a big deal. See eg how many economists or epidemiologists can build entire careers out of noticing 'natural experiments', ie figuring how to use data that 'nature' created and that might already be collected to answer interesting questions about causal relationships.
> I think this also explains why people gripe a lot about LLM coding _style_, but concede that LLMs do totally fine on coding _correctness_ in 2026
I actually have gripes about correctness, too. But I suspect here the answer is also: more proving, more automated test generation (like fuzzing and property based testing etc), more formal methods.
As a really simple and somewhat silly example: I have much better results getting AI agents to write good Rust code, than I have with Python. A good part of that is that for Rust I can ask the agent to make both the compiler and clippy::pedantic happy. That gives a lot of good feedback, that I didn't have to engineer myself.
netdevphoenix 5 minutes ago | parent
the__alchemist 42 minutes ago | parent
api 41 minutes ago | parent
This is why good programmers get better results when vibe coding than non-programmers or poor programmers.
doesnotexist 37 minutes ago | parent
wongarsu 30 minutes ago | parent
But there are also plenty of examples of humans providing technically correct proofs without any elaboration. Usually they get ignored, unless they are famous or the problem they solved was famous
comboy 37 minutes ago | parent
andsoitis 36 minutes ago | parent
Concur. In addition to taste, we also have a point of view, a unique voice (nobody loves corporate- or group-speak), and can iterate on our message as we deliver it to an ever wider circle of people.
bananaflag 43 minutes ago | parent
RationPhantoms 32 minutes ago | parent
Now that the noise-floor has been artificially raised (and generated), my crappy words are starting to have their own happy little carbon-based rhythm.
away0g 19 minutes ago | parent
Then ai fiction started to spread and now I feel like its my obligation to produce original works, lest the world be consumed by slop.
jimbokun 35 minutes ago | parent
I think by design an LLM can’t do that. It’s built to reflect the distribution of the knowledge it has been trained on.
RugnirViking 26 minutes ago | parent
phasefactor 29 minutes ago | parent
Seriously though, why did I just need to read that many words to get no really new content? We have known for decades that humans are predisposed to anthropomorphize chatbots, and questioning whether coherent linguistic output implies understanding (or intent) is equally old hat.
dgellow 3 minutes ago | parent
l1n 28 minutes ago | parent
I wonder if the OP has read https://www.anthropic.com/research/global-workspace - it seems like it directly addresses this
somewhereoutth 28 minutes ago | parent
bakugo 26 minutes ago | parent
Never thought about it that way before, but the more I do, the more sense it makes.
I'd take it a bit further, even - I don't think this is exclusive to billionaires. Many of the claims I've heard regarding AI output being indistinguishable from human creation start to make a lot more sense when you consider the person making those claims may not see the people around them as human, may not see themselves as human, or may not even have a concept of what makes a human different from any everyday object.
trinsic2 20 minutes ago | parent
I'll also say that for someone that doesnt believe in god, Corey sure has a good sense of right and wrong. Not that you need to believe in god to live a moral life.
neomantra 10 minutes ago | parent
trjordan 19 minutes ago | parent
Take the author's sunset argument. What if I painted 2 pictures of a sunset, then put them up on a webpage and randomly picked one for you to see. Would you say there's no intentionality, only randomness? Of course not. Both paintings are still human creations.
LLMs are trained with human feedback. It's distributed and high scale and the outputs are truly surprising in many cases, but there's a heavy hand on what comes out of it. They're created (largely) by people who think omniscient, helpful AI would be cool to have, and they mostly respond in the way that's aligned with the hopes and dreams of those people. Do you think the frontier labs are mad, embarrassed, and disappointed with their LLMs hacking out of their terrible sandboxes? No, they think it's the coolest thing in the world. They trained the model, hoping that would happen.
There's deep intentionality behind the models. But it's not the models that hold it.
eru 14 minutes ago | parent
I think what you might want to say is that LLM output is not uniformly random?
Or what am I misunderstanding?
patcon 9 minutes ago | parent
I'm not sure if it's their intent, but I wonder if one could still consider these artifacts as "intentional", but not individual attention creating them, and rather an aggregate, soupy collective attention.
Obviously, important signal in the human experience is lost there, and we get a soupy middling sort of creation. But it's not random, as I believe the parent was pointing out.
EDIT: overall, I align with the article. am just thinking aloud about the contrarian positions, though not committed to them
devindotcom 3 minutes ago | parent
axus 3 minutes ago | parent
snvzz 16 minutes ago | parent
extr0pian 12 minutes ago | parent
I recently used Claude to study for a technical exam. I had uploaded the official certification guide to Claude and instructed it to answer my questions using only the guide and to cite it's sources from the book when it provided answers. I was using Fable when it was free w/ the pro plan and I was genuinely impressed at how it could explain things when a concept was unclear to me.
I did pass the exam, partly due to this study method. Admittedly, once I passed, I caught myself thinking that I should tell Claude that I passed and then felt embarrassed with myself for thinking that.
kwamenum86 4 minutes ago | parent
traveltalk 8 minutes ago | parent