96 points mooreds 1 hour ago 89 comments
mlinhares 1 hour ago | parent
ballon_monkey 1 hour ago | parent
zmk5 57 minutes ago | parent
rolosa 52 minutes ago | parent
frshgts 40 minutes ago | parent
runarberg 8 minutes ago | parent
AI stole our labor, is renting it back to us, and if you oppose you‘ll loose your job. This is blackmailing, plain and simple.
someguyiguess 42 minutes ago | parent
adamddev1 54 minutes ago | parent
guywithabike 45 minutes ago | parent
someguyiguess 43 minutes ago | parent
greggoB 41 minutes ago | parent
If you really believe otherwise I encourage you to go have a chat with any one of a number of FOSS maintainers to hear their experiences pre and post LLMs.
adamddev1 17 minutes ago | parent
janfoeh 39 minutes ago | parent
"A computer lets you make more mistakes faster than any other invention, with the possible exceptions of handguns and Tequila." — Mitch Ratcliffe
pydry 22 minutes ago | parent
someguyiguess 43 minutes ago | parent
heisenbit 33 minutes ago | parent
iaaan 48 minutes ago | parent
someguyiguess 41 minutes ago | parent
Gigachad 36 minutes ago | parent
jraph 34 minutes ago | parent
tokioyoyo 30 minutes ago | parent
tdeck 20 minutes ago | parent
mcv 31 minutes ago | parent
iaaan 15 minutes ago | parent
chowells 10 minutes ago | parent
gspr 25 minutes ago | parent
This is like watching the cryptobros all over again, except a thousand times bigger.
(Before they droll on: no, of course this take doesn't mean that LLMs are unimpressive and never useful. Only people in a cult take any criticism to mean that.)
jraph 44 minutes ago | parent
Stop insinuating rejecting GenAI is necessarily irrational.
(Maybe my analysis will be different in the future but I will still know why I was avoiding it)
hactually 34 minutes ago | parent
Are you sure the problem is the clankers?
jraph 31 minutes ago | parent
hn_submit 40 minutes ago | parent
Hopefully sooner than later, so microkernel operating systems can...move right in.
Management will get a Golden Parachute but the white collar workers will be left holding the bag.
talon8635 29 minutes ago | parent
But do you have data or reusable anecdotal evidence that this is the case?
andy99 39 minutes ago | parent
apple4ever 30 minutes ago | parent
Given what is happening, it seems more likely they will wonder why they didn't push hard enough.
Whether you like AI or not, its hard to miss that its lead to hundreds of thousands of layoffs.
gspr 29 minutes ago | parent
Must you cultists always speak in this way?
With regards, someone "left behind" as the "singularity train" is leaving the platform. Or something.
runarberg 13 minutes ago | parent
dyauspitr 18 minutes ago | parent
ipsum2 1 hour ago | parent
flowerlad 52 minutes ago | parent
iAMkenough 49 minutes ago | parent
TheCynosure 46 minutes ago | parent
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/26/microsoft-msft-voluntary-buy...
munchbunny 38 minutes ago | parent
I suspect this VBO will see a lower acceptance rate because there will be a lot of eligible people in their early or mid careers, and unless you are one of the people who won't have trouble finding a new role, or you expect to be fired/laid off soon, or you're are already on your way out, you probably don't want to be starting the job search right now.
iAMkenough 21 minutes ago | parent
If you don’t take the deal now, you’ll spend your remaining days at Microsoft wondering if you’ll be included in the next round of involuntary layoffs, possibly with worse terms and timing.
Will the job market be that much better for you in a year or two?
10xDev 45 minutes ago | parent
rootusrootus 20 minutes ago | parent
flowerlad 17 minutes ago | parent
dyauspitr 19 minutes ago | parent
sleepybrett 1 hour ago | parent
MiroslavPokorny 1 hour ago | parent
mr_00ff00 48 minutes ago | parent
• Fiscal Year 2026: $133.75 billion (up 31.34% YoY)
• Fiscal Year 2025: $101.83 billion (up 15.54% YoY)
• Fiscal Year 2024: $88.14 billion (up 21.80% YoY)
• Fiscal Year 2023: $72.36 billion
Seems like they can decrease workforce, make up the gap with AI, and increase revenue while doing it
someguyiguess 40 minutes ago | parent
iAMkenough 35 minutes ago | parent
If this doesn’t go well, we’ll see it in the form of more GitHub and Azure outages/breaches, and competitors filling the gap themselves.
The talented people that built and maintained those systems for the executives have to work somewhere.
kvirani 21 minutes ago | parent
tennisflyi 8 minutes ago | parent
Aeolun 1 hour ago | parent
Very enticing Microsoft.
samusiam 18 minutes ago | parent
Jagerbizzle 13 minutes ago | parent
ChrisArchitect 1 hour ago | parent
650 47 minutes ago | parent
- bullshit jobs is a thing and many of these positions were make work anyways
- yes philosophically and economically, who will buy X product if all employees are laid off is a thing
- some of these will be rehired, some will be layed off if the voluntary buyout percentage is not large enough
- opinion: Microsoft as a company is a has been dinosaur, soon to be IBM, its (engineer) salaries were on the lower end and were very PM (Program Manager) heavy
- there is a lot of entrenched bureaucracy and top down mandates at this company.
- i personally use Macbooks/MacOS over Surface/XP, Google Docs over Word, GMail over Outlook, Slack over Teams, Firefox over Edge, etc. their user facing products are severely lacking in user experience.
- from my time in the tech industry/friends I understand their bureaucracy existing for the needs of the bureaucracy. their c-suite/leadership is a bunch of world salad morons
bawolff 38 minutes ago | parent
Wouldn't those people choose to stay? Buyouts are much more attractive if you can easily get a new job.
650 34 minutes ago | parent
notfried 31 minutes ago | parent
Server products & cloud services (39% of revenue) M365 Commercial products & cloud services, excludes Consumer (30.7%) Xbox / Gaming (6.6%) LinkedIn (6%)
[1] https://app.edgar.tools/companies/MSFT/disclosures/segments
650 20 minutes ago | parent
pkaye 30 minutes ago | parent
https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/MSFT/microsoft/num...
anuptalwalkar 42 minutes ago | parent
Either senior talent leaves, people who are close to retiring, or just can find a job easily outside.
Low hanging fruits take the bait and head out.
Mid level people live in fear of either scared to find another job, or worried about layoffs.
Either way the company morale is down the drain for a long time, and a culture is lost.
tdeck 35 minutes ago | parent
Also Microsoft has already been trashing morale with year after year of layoffs. They probably assume this won't move the needle.
calvinmorrison 32 minutes ago | parent
talon8635 33 minutes ago | parent
Are these offers extended to the highest performers with institutional knowledge?
nostrademons 24 minutes ago | parent
In my experience, there were 3 main groups of people for whom these are attractive:
1) People who are close to retirement.
2) People who are leaving to become stay-at-home parents. So, basically retirement with more work.
3) People who are independently wealthy because they've been with the company forever and rocked the stock price appreciation. So, basically retirement with more money.
The amount of the buyout isn't really enough to move the needle for most other people because it usually doesn't include equity vesting. You're better off phoning it in and waiting for the layoff, because you get the same severance anyway but can continue to vest in peace until the axeman actually hits.
Folks who take the buyout do tend to skew heavily toward people with institutional knowledge, but it's also oftentimes folks who aren't really hungry and engaged with the company's current strategy. Basically folks who know a lot but don't work particularly hard. Particularly in times of big change, it likely does make sense for the company to get rid of these folks and rebuild the company in the image that they want it to be today.
mooreds 15 minutes ago | parent
I always wonder about that with buy-outs. Seems to me that the people who take buyouts are either:
- those who are close to retirement
- those who have other options
I'd assume the first vary in quality the same as your overall workforce, but I'd assume the second would, all other things equal, be better than the average.
Maybe I'm wrong, but it seems like by offering an optional buyout, you'd degrade the overall quality of your workforce. Wonder if there are any case studies about that?
mooreds 11 minutes ago | parent
> To conclude, the company was able to specify who was dismissed but was unable to specify who took buyouts despite efforts to ensure retention of value employees, including careful setting of incentive schemes. The case presented in this paper demonstrates that employment adjustment using a buyout framework invites "adverse selection" despite careful employer precautions.
Here's the full PDF: https://econ-review.ier.hit-u.ac.jp/wp-content/uploads/files... (not sure how to translate that)
beloch 32 minutes ago | parent
1. MS over-hired, has too many employees, and not enough work?
2. MS is reaping the benefits of AI and can do the same work with fewer employees?
3. MS has over-invested in data-centres and needs to conserve cash to stay in the game during it's unprofitable phase (assuming it's not a bubble)?
autophagian 27 minutes ago | parent
gamblor956 19 minutes ago | parent
Given how abysmal Copilot was/is, and how buggy their software has become this year, it's clear that they aren't reaping any benefits from AI usage internally.
rvba 15 minutes ago | parent
most office workers seem to want at least the 20 usd per month plan
This can mean nothing who uses AI for programming, but is useful for day to day office work - and I belive it can sell very well
DrewADesign 8 minutes ago | parent
Office work is many fields in many businesses of all shapes and sizes in many industries. It doesn’t make sense to generalize.
SimianSci 19 minutes ago | parent
Microsoft overhired due to the spike in global usage during the pandemic. Some jobs are being automated but it’s more a question of "How many." And Microsoft was one of the first to start dumping its cash reserves into data centers. There is a good chance these will remain profitable even after any sort of bubble pop because they still remain a hyperscaler that can provide services beyond just AI compute.
overall, given where the economy is at and how much of their war chest is gone, im not surprised to see this happening.
malfist 10 minutes ago | parent
hdgvhicv 30 minutes ago | parent
gigatexal 22 minutes ago | parent
s1mon 6 minutes ago | parent
In this case it sounds like they are offering it to lower ranked employees (its own dystopian situation), but within that range of people, I still expect that Microsoft will lose more of the better ones.