36 points herTTTz 2 hours ago 44 comments
4gotunameagain 40 minutes ago | parent
When you have countries much larger and wealthier than you, they will pump the housing market to unsustainability, driving the locals out of their houses.
But hey, GDP and the waiter wages have increased, so there's that.
ericmay 37 minutes ago | parent
4gotunameagain 35 minutes ago | parent
They've been full for quite a while, turns out land in desirable places is not infinite and there's no supply. So don't increase demand by allowing wealthy foreigners to buy out everything.
theinability 30 minutes ago | parent
jon-wood 29 minutes ago | parent
happytoexplain 9 minutes ago | parent
This is true of every location, of course. Major metros are just where the population, and acceptance of density, is highest, so it's the obvious example to look at.
ericmay 24 minutes ago | parent
I’m not sure about the effect of “wealthy foreigners” since if they are wealthy they are probably competing for more expensive properties that your school teacher or grocery store worker aren’t.
But you’re on to something here which isn’t being addressed which is the effect of mass migration to some of these countries. Obviously the migrant workers too want to and gravitate toward the cities with the most jobs, which would place additional pressure on housing prices since they join an already hyper competitive pool of buyers.
norome 32 minutes ago | parent
blfr 29 minutes ago | parent
m000 11 minutes ago | parent
Same goes for Europeans moving to East Asia to live the high life and causing similar problems for the locals. The only difference is that, unlike in Europe, East Asian countries have some guardrails on property ownership to avoid being overrun by foreigners. E.g. you cannot own land, and most houses are on a lease.
alright2565 23 minutes ago | parent
jaapz 37 minutes ago | parent
ghomem 29 minutes ago | parent
p-e-w 29 minutes ago | parent
They also often don’t match reality either.
ghomem 26 minutes ago | parent
yes, but there are levels to the amount of mismatch
National averages are a terrible tool. Isolated per-country indexes are insufficient. No statistic is perfect, but the European authorities could - and should - try harder.
Forgot to point that I am the author of this data story.
ghomem 24 minutes ago | parent
redwood 2 minutes ago | parent
I think this is a key detail people often miss. In other words a particular job in a particular neighborhood is great but if it can only be accessed by a small number of people in that neighborhood then it's quite a different dynamic than if a whole metropolis can essentially work and live anywhere within commutable distance.
And there are secondary components of this.. for example access to people who provide child care is easier in a well integrated metropolis than a federated byzantine instead of neighborhoods.. and childcare, school access, secondary care options are all critical components similar to housing hosts for families
tacostakohashi 22 minutes ago | parent
This guy lost me here, with the assertion that increased equity "hurts" / vanishes.
Presumably its AI slop? It's certainly a lot of charts / "effort" that have gone into analyzing some random datasets with no real revelation or conclusion.
leereeves 20 minutes ago | parent
It's still money out of pocket each month, even if equity increases. I assume it "actually hurts" because it's the majority of the payment.
ghomem 15 minutes ago | parent
Exactly.
Building equity in this case is not a luxury, unlike what the Eurostat burden indicator thinks. Given the cost of renting, buying at very high prices is sometimes the only option to not face an even worse outcome in the future. There is simply no good option for millions of europeans.
nemomarx 13 minutes ago | parent
ericmay 14 minutes ago | parent
I don’t know that the phrasing is great and it’s good to build equity as we both understand, but in terms of your monthly paycheck or ability to afford to do or buy things it seems crazy to me to only measure the interest and not the entire payment.
> Presumably its AI slop? It's certainly a lot of charts / "effort"
Even if is AI slop (and as a policy please stop insinuating something is AI slop) it’s not much worse than the torrent of dumb human only bloggers who are making asinine posts about how the AI bubble is 0vER.
ubermonkey 11 minutes ago | parent
The story is talking about the portion of your monthly budget occupied by housing. If you only "count" the interest on a mortgage payment, then you're ignoring a material amount of money out the door every month, and that would render the whole dataset questionable.
The only honest way to discuss "is housing too expensive?" is to ask "how much do you pay someone on the first of the month to live in your home or apartment?"
This can take several forms, but the majority are either:
* "My rent is $X;" or * "My total mortgage payment, including interest and principal, is $X;" or, in some cases, * "My total mortgage payment, including interest and principal, is $X, and I also have to pay $Y in condo fees / HOA fees / building fees."
That last category might just be an American thing; I have no idea. I just know that many if not most condo developments/buildings have an additional fee you have to pay even if you own your unit outright, and it can be significant.
jonhohle 5 minutes ago | parent
metayrnc 21 minutes ago | parent
lifestyleguru 9 minutes ago | parent
andsoitis 4 minutes ago | parent
Cities are attractive for people because they present more opportunities: more things to do, more people to meet.
More people == more commercial opportunities, which translates to jobs.
giantg2 8 minutes ago | parent
glimshe 5 minutes ago | parent
I then examined where they were opening their offices in a wave of rapid expansion. Almost invariably at the most expensive areas of each city. When I questioned that to the people in charge of their location strategy, they said "that's where the young people want to live".
These were rental-heavy, 1/2 bedroom rich, ultra gentrified high cost locations. As the offices grew and the "young people" started getting married and buying property, they would have to move far away.
pixl97 2 minutes ago | parent
iagiagiag 6 minutes ago | parent
I think it's a bit of everything, but if we decentralize too much, it becomes less energy efficient, and energy costs more in Europe compared to a lot of countries. If you decentralize, you need more fuel to get groceries, to go to work, to heat your home etc.
There is a good middle ground. Probably by creating more jobs and flats in cities with 50-200k inhabitants.
lifestyleguru 20 minutes ago | parent
yulaow 17 minutes ago | parent
estearum 16 minutes ago | parent
jonhohle 4 minutes ago | parent
estearum 1 minute ago | parent
mdemare 12 minutes ago | parent
ricardobeat 8 minutes ago | parent
the number of months of gross salary needed to buy a single square metre (0.86 - 1.8)
18 years to repay, Amsterdam, 50m²
The average selling price in Amsterdam is €8,600/sqm against a €2,600 minimum wage and €4,500 average, so that ratio is actually 2x - 4xA 50m2 apartment is going for 400k-500k, meaning repayment will take 30+ years. Better housing suitable for a family, with two or three bedrooms, will be >600k.
Yes, salaries in NL can be much higher but it's still a bleak picture. Almost every young professional is priced out of the market.
outime 6 minutes ago | parent
- Not building enough (= insufficient supply). The reasons vary per country.
- Too many people, mostly due to immigration (= excessive demand, with supply failing to keep up... in some cases, it's virtually impossible to meet demand).
- Competition from outsiders e.g. wealthier people from richer countries and/or large investment funds.
Some countries have all three problems, while others may have only one or two. However, it seems that many governments continue to misdiagnose the problem, placing too much emphasis on factors that in reality contribute very marginally to the problem. This may be due to incompetence or simply whatever agenda they have at the time.
If I had to make a wild prediction, I'd say the problem will continue to get worse until the whole system (not just housing but many critical parts of the country) eventually collapses in many places.
redwood 5 minutes ago | parent