8 points spl757 4 hours ago 24 comments

My understanding that all AI can, and will hallucinate. I get downvoted for saying this, but no one ever says I'm wrong or cites any source. Perhaps it's more nuanced than that? Please, enlighten me.

buffer_overlord 4 hours ago | parent

I have t see t hat I a few years

AIOSAI 3 hours ago | parent

I think its solved, with the right setup and model. I couldn't tell u the last time my agent hallucinated. For me I consider it solved. However some dude feeding massive docs into gpt chat and long conversations, It is not solved in this context.

spl757 3 hours ago | parent

Would you trust it to make life and death decisions? Because it is being used in that context. Drones with AI, armed, and with discretion to choose a target and kill it.

salawat 1 hour ago | parent

The types of people using it that way are not concerned with the best interests of anyone but themselves, and arguably not even that except within a very immediate time horizon.

spl757 1 hour ago | parent

Perhaps you should be concerned about it. I certainly am. This is deployed on the battlefield and has been for months.

spl757 1 hour ago | parent

I'm not talking about a hypothetical. I'm talking about Ukraine assymetrically fucking up the Russians with AI drones.

FromTheFirstIn 1 hour ago | parent

Man there really isn’t a criticism that won’t lead to a booster saying you’re holding it wrong

spl757 3 hours ago | parent

I'm hoping for more than anecdotes. I believe AI is not ready for what it's being used for, but all I get are downvotes and no citations. Maybe all of you are just scared to say it out loud?

FromTheFirstIn 1 hour ago | parent

No one is scared of saying something anonymously online, and wondering if that’s what’s going on is immature and silly. People earnestly disagree with you, but they don’t owe you an argument

spl757 1 hour ago | parent

please explain how you have discerned that people earnestly disagree with me?

spl757 1 hour ago | parent

I'm asking a legitimate question, and only two people have actually tried to make an argument.

Most, like you, have nothing useful to contribute.

ebcode 2 hours ago | parent

My personal opinion: all output from LLMs is hallucinations. The idea that it’s “right” or “wrong”, when stating factual information is really in the eye of the beholder/user. What year did astronauts land on the moon? — is a question that may or may not have a factual answer depending on your own beliefs. Philosophically, you would need to also define what a fact is, or what “not hallucinating” is, to define what a hallucination is. My understanding is that this property of the LLM architecture is innate, and until we have “world model” LLMs, or some other model that reasons from first principles, instead of the current “guess the next word” model, this isn’t going away. Just don’t rely on the for facts.

spl757 1 hour ago | parent

I'm talking about software being allowed to make the decision to put bullets through a human being without any human in the chain except the dead guy.

defrost 1 hour ago | parent

Is this distinct from the hardware in a land mine making the decision to explode shrapnel through a human being without any human in the chain except the dead guy.

Worth noting that both cases indirectly involve the humans that designed devices and the humans that made the placement and trigger condition decisions.

Further:

> AI drones are being used to autonomously target and kill targets by the Ukraine using technology they have been given.

Ukrainian Combat Robot Holds Frontline Position for Six Weeks in Sign of Growing UGV Maturity - https://defenceleaders.com/news/ukrainian-combat-robot-holds...

are remote operated, they allow defenders cover while themselves being out and exposed.

However were they altered to autonomously fire, that would be on the basis of pattern matching in the visible and infra red spectrum - shoot at all hot blobs.

That's more of a trigger threshold setting issue than an LLM hallucination issue, and the danger is on par with any weapon system on auto fire, you really shouldn't approach such things until they are put in a safe off state or have exhausted ammunition.

spl757 56 minutes ago | parent

yes, yes it absfuckinglutely is. IMHO

spl757 46 minutes ago | parent

I guess what I'm really asking is whether or not it's moral and ethical to use AI that targets autonomously? My understanding is that it's being used that way, but I can't back that up and I'll take your word for it if that's not the case. But it is certainly a plausible scenario. Everyone invested in AI seems determined to put it in everything because they need consumers to want to pay for it, and right now they haven't figured out a way to earn back from consumers the over a trillion dollars that has been put into the AI bubble. I don't have much faith that the people with billions invested don't want return on their investment, and I don't think they care about the consequences necessary to get it back.

edit for clarity

defrost 25 minutes ago | parent

> moral and ethical to use AI that targets autonomously?

First point, vision systems have been used in industry to look for misaligned labels, incorrectly folded papers (in high speed paper presses), wrong items on high speed conveyor belts etc. for thirty odd years now - they have issues that a very distinct from LLM 'AI' hallucinations.

That's nomenclature out the way.

Landmines are indiscriminate, they trigger on any weight or pressure over a threshold.

A vision based Felixer, by contrast, only triggers on cats (well, almost always only) and leaves bilbies and bettongs to walk on by.

That's an improvement over landmines.

The crux of your issue here might be the morality and ethics of establishing human exclusion zones within which all humans are highly likely to die.

These historically are created with rapid patterned artillery fire, butterfly mines, Napalm, indiscriminate criss crossing machine gun fire, etc.

Now there exists an option to use drones to kill all humans and leave the horses and cows alive.

Is it your concern that a bad vision threshold might kill a horse rather than a person? (Likely not)

Would you prefer an area to be napalm'd and agent orange'd back to dust?

War is hell.

* https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-05-29/feral-cat-management-...

spl757 17 minutes ago | parent

I'd prefer a world without war, rather than one that is starting to make the movie Terminator 2: Judgement Day a reality.

spl757 13 minutes ago | parent

Also, why do people keep talking about landmines? I'm talking about software, you are talking about dumb mechanical things from WWII. This isn't a philosophical question about methods of warfare from the past, but the software that controls the dumb hardware.

add-sub-mul-div 1 hour ago | parent

AI will never be fully reliable, and people never will be. But AI is wrong in much less predictable and stable ways, and with much less accountability.

bruce511 1 hour ago | parent

There are two common ways to spot hallucinations. Talk to it about a topic you know well, or implement what it suggests and get an error or failure.

For the first, we're mostly past the point of just "testing". So I don't see that too much anymore. Mostly I still see that though in bug reports generated by AI by someone else. There is usually some underlying bug being reported, but the AI explanation and "helpful suggestion" is typically inaccurate. Generally, suggested fixes are terrible. (They likely work, but fix a symptom not the cause.)

The second still happens, but with much less regularity for me though. It does make mistakes though.

In areas where I'm not as skilled it's very hard to spot errors. When researching general information I'm mostly accepting it on face value.

I find the bug-report thing really interesting. For lots of simple bugs it's great. For more complex things it seems to be very superficial- if a 0 causes an issue here, add a simple guard for 0. There's no depth of understanding why the value is 0 in the first place, when it should be set. If it can (incorrectly) be 0 here, where else might 0 be impacting the code?

This informs my opinion of vibe coded stuff - where there is no skilled human inspection. I expect that code to be of a poor underlying quality. Especially if it's AI changes to an existing human-coded app.

spl757 1 hour ago | parent

AI drones are being used to autonomously target and kill targets by the Ukraine using technology they have been given. That's real. Right now. That that is happening anywhere on the planet scares me. That's why I keep asking about AI hallucinating, and it's implications when the stakes are life and death.

avadodin 2 minutes ago | parent

The "AIs" being used by these drones have little to do with ChatGPT at the moment. And you should be more worried about "AIs" that do aim at the intended target, anyways.

abalashov 9 minutes ago | parent

The problem hasn't been solved, and, by the very nature of what LLMs are, can't be. However, it has gotten a lot better, as models have got much larger and pretraining more sophisticated.

Part of the difficulty is in defining what a hallucination is. On the face of it, it seems straightforward: an obviously counterfactual claim or manifest error of reasoning. However, it's not always that simple. A lot of what people consider to be hallucinations are misattributions, specious diagnoses, strangely lopsided preoccupations, eccentric design choices, needlessly verbose or circuitous output or explanations, a kind of metaphysical conflation of the trivial with the significant, etc.

emj 2 minutes ago | parent

[delayed]